![]() ![]() If the ensembles disagree, it’s wise not to put too much confidence in one outcome or another. If all, or almost all, the ensemble members agree on a particular outcome, you can have high confidence that that outcome will occur. Ensembles are a great tool for gauging uncertainty in a forecast. Each one of these ideas will create its own outcome, known as an ensemble member. Ensembles attempt to fix this problem by starting the model with a bunch of ideas of what the atmosphere could be doing right now. Any small error in the weather model initially due to this gap in observation is compounded exponentially out through time due to chaos. Because we can’t observe every tiny bit of air in our atmosphere, our picture of the weather currently is incomplete. Lake Murray, Ardmore OK (WeatherOK, USA)Įnsembles are produced by running the same weather models many different times with slightly varying initial conditions.Lightning CG worldwide (since 2004) Plus.Tropical cyclone tracks (ECMWF/Ensemble).Forecast Ensemble Heatmaps (Up to 7 models, multiple runs, graph up to 46 days) Plus.Forecast Ensemble (Up to 7 models, multiple runs, graph up to 46 days).Forecast XL (Graph and table up to 10 days - choose your model).14 day forecast (ECMWF-IFS/EPS, graphs with ranges).Meteograms (Graph 3-5 days - choose your model).Weather overview (Next hours and days, 14 day forecast).Central Europe Super HD (MOS) (3 days) new.Beware! The strength of the UV rays is significantly increased by the reflection of the water and sand. ![]() A hat with a wide brim is extremely helpful, as it can prevent roughly 50% of UV radiation from reaching the eyes. On bright days sunglasses that block both UVA and UVB rays should be worn. when UV radiation is most intense keep in mind that shade structures like parasols or canopies do not provide perfect sun protection. Seek shade and minimize exposure to direct Sun in a period between 10 a.m. Protection against skin and eye damage is required. Take precautions and utilize sun safety practices. Note: In January, the average maximum UV index of 7 translate into the following recommendations: A UV Index value of 6 to 7 symbolizes a high health vulnerability from exposure to the Sun's UV rays for ordinary individuals. UV indexThe months with the highest UV index are January through March and December, with an average maximum UV index of 7. SunshineIn January, the average sunshine in Flic en Flac is 9.5h. On the last day of January, sunrise is at 05:53 and sunset at 18:54 +04. On the first day of the month, sunrise is at 05:33 and sunset at 18:54. DaylightThe average length of the day in January is 13h and 12min. Note: For any water activity, surface water temperatures between 25☌ (77☏) and 29☌ (84.2☏) are considered as excellent and extremely pleasant for lengthened periods. Sea temperatureIn January, the average sea temperature in Flic en Flac, Mauritius, is 27☌ (80.6☏). Rain falls for 22.2 days and accumulates 129mm (5.08") of precipitation. RainfallJanuary is the month with the most rainfall. HumidityThe months with the highest humidity are January through March, with an average relative humidity of 78%. And also, due to larger skin surface relative to their small bodies and higher heat production as a result of their activity. Young children are generally more endangered than adults, as they usually less sweat. Heat index values are especially crucial for babies and toddlers. Be aware that direct exposure to sunlight increases heat impact and may raise the heat index by up to 15 Fahrenheit (8 Celsius) degrees. Additional factors like activity, clothing, wind, and metabolic differences affect individual temperature impact. Note: The heat index, also known as 'feels like', 'apparent temperature', 'felt air temperature', or 'real feel', is a measure that combines air temperature and relative humidity into a single value that indicates how hot the weather feels. Exposure to direct sunshine can increase heat index values by up to 15 Fahrenheit (8 Celsius) degrees. Note that heat index values are valued for light wind and location in the shade. Sustained activity may result in heatstroke. Take extra precautions, as heat cramps and heat exhaustion are possible. Heat indexThe average heat index in January is appraised at a hot 33☌ (91.4☏). In Flic en Flac, the average low-temperature is 25.4☌ (77.7☏). TemperatureIn Flic en Flac, the average high-temperature in January is relatively the same as in December - a still warm 28.3☌ (82.9☏). January, like December, in Flic en Flac, Mauritius, is a moderately hot summer month, with temperature in the range of an average low of 25.4☌ (77.7☏) and an average high of 28.3☌ (82.9☏). ![]()
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